Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector

big hindrance, little help

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Financial sector ups and downs and the real s ...
Joshua Aizenman
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October 17, 2020 | History

Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector

big hindrance, little help

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"We examine how financial expansion and contraction cycles affect the broader economy through their impact on 8 real economic sectors in a panel of 28 countries over 1960-2005, paying particular attention to large, or sharp, contractions and magnifying and mitigating factors. Overall, the construction sector is the most responsive to financial sector growth, with a number of others such as government, public utilities, and transportation also exhibiting significant sensitivity to lagged financial sector growth. Sharp fluctuations in the financial sector have asymmetric effects, with the majority of real sectors adversely affected by contractions but not helped by expansions. The adverse effects of financial contractions are transmitted almost exclusively by the financial openness channel with foreign reserves mitigating these effects with a sizeable (10 to 15 times greater) impact during sharp financial contractions. Both effects are magnified during particularly large financial contractions (with coefficients on interaction terms 2 to 3 times greater than when all contractions are considered). Consequent upon a financial contraction, the most severe real sector contractions occur in countries with high financial openness, relative predominance of construction, manufacturing, and wholesale and retail sectors, and low international reserves. Finally, we find that abrupt financial contractions are more likely to follow periods of accelerated growth, indicative of "up by the stairs, down by the elevator dynamics.""--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector
Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector: big hindrance, little help
2011, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/5/2012.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 17530, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 17530.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL25166006M
LCCN
2011657411

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
October 17, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
August 4, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] :' to 'Electronic resource'
January 11, 2012 Created by LC Bot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record.